动量 / 价值 / 质量 / 成长 / 低波动 / 红利 / 多因子 / 等权 / 护城河
数据截至:2026-06-18 | 报告生成:2026-06-21 03:27
本报告从选股策略维度,系统梳理了 9 类主流 ETF:动量、价值、质量、成长、低波动、红利、多因子、等权和护城河。相比单一收益率,我们加入了波动率、最大回撤、夏普比率、Sortino 比率、Calmar 比率、Beta、Alpha、胜率、相关性等多维指标,帮助你更全面地理解不同策略的风险收益特征。
| 策略类型 | 代表 ETF | 核心逻辑 |
|---|---|---|
| Momentum | MTUM(iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor), SPMO(Invesco S&P 500 Momentum), XMMO(Invesco S&P MidCap Momentum) | 追涨杀跌,持有近期强势股 |
| Value | VTV(Vanguard Value), VLUE(iShares MSCI USA Value Factor), IVE(iShares S&P 500 Value) | 买入估值较低的股票 |
| Quality | QUAL(iShares MSCI USA Quality Factor), SPHQ(Invesco S&P 500 Quality) | 优选盈利稳定、财务稳健的公司 |
| Growth | VUG(Vanguard Growth), IWF(iShares Russell 1000 Growth), IWY(iShares Russell Top 200 Growth) | 持有高成长预期股票 |
| Low Volatility | USMV(iShares MSCI USA Min Vol Factor), SPLV(Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility) | 选择历史波动率低的股票 |
| Dividend | SCHD(Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity), VYM(Vanguard High Dividend Yield), DGRO(iShares Core Dividend Growth) | 偏好高股息或股息持续增长公司 |
| Multi-factor | LRGF(iShares MSCI USA Multifactor), GSLC(Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta U.S. Large Cap Equity), SPHD(Invesco S&P 500 High Dividend Low Volatility) | 同时暴露多个因子以分散风险 |
| Equal-weight | RSP(Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight) | 等权配置,降低巨头集中度 |
| Moat | MOAT(VanEck Morningstar Wide Moat) | 投资具备可持续竞争优势的公司 |
| 策略 / ETF | 最新价 | YTD | 1年 | 3年 年化 |
3年 总收益 |
波动率 12M |
波动率 36M |
Sharpe 36M |
Sortino 36M |
最大回撤 12M |
最大回撤 36M |
Calmar 36M |
Beta SPY |
Alpha SPY |
胜率 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | |||||||||||||||
| SPMO Invesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF |
$159.90 | +34.39% | +43.15% | +43.02% | +192.54% | 23.5% | 19.2% | 2.01 | 4.54 | -7.39% | -7.39% | 5.82 | 1.29 | +16.58% | 69% |
| MTUM iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF |
$338.52 | +35.51% | +41.86% | +33.98% | +140.48% | 22.5% | 18.6% | 1.59 | 3.63 | -6.13% | -7.52% | 4.52 | 1.24 | +8.63% | 67% |
| XMMO Invesco S&P MidCap Momentum ETF |
$171.83 | +24.32% | +34.28% | +30.02% | +119.80% | 12.4% | 18.5% | 1.38 | 2.52 | -3.18% | -15.62% | 1.92 | 1.12 | +7.05% | 69% |
| Value | |||||||||||||||
| VLUE iShares MSCI USA Value Factor ETF |
$199.92 | +47.37% | +80.02% | +31.87% | +129.32% | 23.7% | 19.5% | 1.41 | 3.34 | -5.29% | -9.44% | 3.37 | 1.19 | +7.43% | 67% |
| VTV Vanguard Value ETF |
$216.50 | +13.98% | +24.44% | +17.55% | +62.43% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 1.13 | 2.22 | -4.81% | -8.08% | 2.17 | 0.69 | +3.33% | 72% |
| IVE iShares S&P 500 Value ETF |
$226.38 | +7.56% | +17.77% | +14.06% | +48.39% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 0.78 | 1.39 | -4.58% | -10.20% | 1.38 | 0.79 | -2.18% | 69% |
| Quality | |||||||||||||||
| SPHQ Invesco S&P 500 Quality ETF |
$89.36 | +19.52% | +26.63% | +22.39% | +83.34% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 1.47 | 2.62 | -6.75% | -6.91% | 3.24 | 0.81 | +5.79% | 78% |
| QUAL iShares MSCI USA Quality Factor ETF |
$215.89 | +9.12% | +19.21% | +18.22% | +65.24% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 1.11 | 1.81 | -6.17% | -8.11% | 2.25 | 0.92 | -0.55% | 72% |
| Growth | |||||||||||||||
| VUG Vanguard Growth ETF |
$86.98 | +7.09% | +19.42% | +23.21% | +87.02% | 19.3% | 17.4% | 1.08 | 2.33 | -12.25% | -12.25% | 1.89 | 1.26 | -2.54% | 61% |
| IWY iShares Russell Top 200 Growth ETF |
$288.74 | +4.44% | +17.56% | +22.71% | +84.76% | 18.1% | 16.6% | 1.10 | 2.33 | -12.33% | -12.33% | 1.84 | 1.17 | -1.29% | 61% |
| IWF iShares Russell 1000 Growth ETF |
$123.19 | +4.29% | +16.49% | +22.03% | +81.71% | 17.6% | 16.5% | 1.06 | 2.24 | -12.02% | -12.02% | 1.83 | 1.19 | -2.37% | 61% |
| Low Volatility | |||||||||||||||
| USMV iShares MSCI USA Min Vol Factor ETF |
$94.24 | +0.81% | +1.94% | +10.05% | +33.29% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 0.59 | 0.98 | -4.79% | -5.66% | 1.78 | 0.49 | +0.01% | 64% |
| SPLV Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility ETF |
$73.09 | +3.29% | +2.41% | +7.39% | +23.85% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 0.27 | 0.45 | -6.18% | -7.09% | 1.04 | 0.38 | -0.47% | 61% |
| Dividend | |||||||||||||||
| VYM Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF |
$158.21 | +11.57% | +21.64% | +17.48% | +62.15% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 1.16 | 2.36 | -3.92% | -8.29% | 2.11 | 0.69 | +3.40% | 67% |
| DGRO iShares Core Dividend Growth ETF |
$74.82 | +8.76% | +19.49% | +15.85% | +55.50% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 1.06 | 2.21 | -4.56% | -8.75% | 1.81 | 0.69 | +1.76% | 72% |
| SCHD Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF |
$31.86 | +17.13% | +23.66% | +13.40% | +45.83% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 0.67 | 1.18 | -3.27% | -10.95% | 1.22 | 0.58 | +1.46% | 67% |
| Multi-factor | |||||||||||||||
| LRGF iShares MSCI USA Multifactor ETF |
$75.62 | +9.48% | +19.31% | +20.84% | +76.43% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 1.24 | 2.51 | -5.27% | -7.97% | 2.61 | 1.00 | +0.46% | 64% |
| GSLC Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta U.S. Large Cap Equity ETF |
$141.89 | +7.48% | +17.80% | +18.86% | +67.92% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 1.11 | 2.22 | -5.90% | -8.18% | 2.31 | 0.99 | -1.44% | 67% |
| SPHD Invesco S&P 500 High Dividend Low Volatility ETF |
$49.95 | +6.25% | +9.66% | +10.90% | +36.40% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 0.52 | 0.94 | -4.99% | -9.63% | 1.13 | 0.49 | +0.87% | 61% |
| Equal-weight | |||||||||||||||
| RSP Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF |
$209.96 | +10.07% | +16.99% | +13.65% | +46.81% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 0.70 | 1.28 | -5.97% | -11.92% | 1.15 | 0.86 | -3.95% | 64% |
| Moat | |||||||||||||||
| MOAT VanEck Morningstar Wide Moat ETF |
$102.12 | -1.39% | +10.36% | +9.87% | +32.62% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 0.37 | 0.67 | -9.57% | -13.24% | 0.75 | 0.93 | -9.17% | 64% |
| Benchmark | |||||||||||||||
| QQQ Invesco QQQ Trust |
$740.62 | +20.71% | +34.76% | +26.78% | +103.76% | 20.0% | 17.1% | 1.30 | 3.08 | -8.01% | -10.08% | 2.66 | 1.23 | +1.53% | 67% |
| SPY SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust |
$746.74 | +10.09% | +22.20% | +20.47% | +74.86% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 1.23 | 2.58 | -5.76% | -8.33% | 2.46 | 1.00 | -0.00% | 67% |
以下按策略分类展示每只 ETF 的核心机制。注意:这些 ETF 大多不是每月调仓,调仓频率从季度到年度不等。
| 发行商 | BlackRock / iShares |
| 跟踪指数 | MSCI USA Momentum SR Variant Index |
| 费率 | 0.15% |
| 调仓频率 | Semi-annually (May & November) |
| 投资范围 | U.S. large- and mid-cap stocks |
| 持仓数量 | 约 ~125 |
| 选股信号 | 6M & 12M risk-adjusted momentum (Sharpe-style) |
| 加权方式 | Market-cap with momentum overlay, sector constraints |
| 分红频率 | Quarterly |
| 发行商 | Invesco |
| 跟踪指数 | S&P 500 Momentum Index |
| 费率 | 0.13% |
| 调仓频率 | Semi-annually (March & September) |
| 投资范围 | S&P 500 constituents |
| 持仓数量 | 约 ~100 |
| 选股信号 | 12-month price return ex-most-recent month |
| 加权方式 | Market-cap + momentum score weighted |
| 分红频率 | Quarterly |
| 发行商 | Invesco |
| 跟踪指数 | S&P MidCap 400 Momentum Index |
| 费率 | 0.35% |
| 调仓频率 | Semi-annually (March & September) |
| 投资范围 | S&P MidCap 400 constituents |
| 持仓数量 | 约 ~80 |
| 选股信号 | 12-month price return ex-most-recent month |
| 加权方式 | Market-cap + momentum score weighted |
| 分红频率 | Quarterly |
| 发行商 | Vanguard |
| 跟踪指数 | CRSP U.S. Large Cap Value Index |
| 费率 | 0.03% |
| 调仓频率 | Quarterly |
| 投资范围 | U.S. large-cap stocks |
| 持仓数量 | 约 ~310–350 |
| 选股信号 | Book/Price, Earnings/Price, Sales/Price, Dividend/Price |
| 加权方式 | Float-adjusted market-cap weighted |
| 分红频率 | Quarterly |
| 发行商 | BlackRock / iShares |
| 跟踪指数 | MSCI USA Enhanced Value Index |
| 费率 | 0.15% |
| 调仓频率 | Semi-annually (May & November) |
| 投资范围 | MSCI USA (large/mid-cap) |
| 持仓数量 | 约 ~147 |
| 选股信号 | P/B, Forward P/E, EV/CFO |
| 加权方式 | Optimized factor-tilt, industry-neutral |
| 分红频率 | Quarterly |
| 发行商 | BlackRock / iShares |
| 跟踪指数 | S&P 500 Value Index |
| 费率 | 0.18% |
| 调仓频率 | Annual reconstitution (Dec) + quarterly reweighting |
| 投资范围 | S&P 500 constituents |
| 持仓数量 | 约 ~439 |
| 选股信号 | B/P, E/P, S/P plus growth score |
| 加权方式 | Capped float-adjusted market-cap weighted |
| 分红频率 | Quarterly |
| 发行商 | BlackRock / iShares |
| 跟踪指数 | MSCI USA Sector Neutral Quality Index |
| 费率 | 0.15% |
| 调仓频率 | Semi-annually (May & November) |
| 投资范围 | MSCI USA (large/mid-cap) |
| 持仓数量 | 约 ~121 |
| 选股信号 | ROE, Debt/Equity, Earnings Variability |
| 加权方式 | Sector-neutral quality score × market-cap |
| 分红频率 | Quarterly |
| 发行商 | Invesco |
| 跟踪指数 | S&P 500 Quality Index |
| 费率 | 0.15% (net) |
| 调仓频率 | Semi-annually (June & December) |
| 投资范围 | S&P 500 constituents |
| 持仓数量 | 约 100 |
| 选股信号 | ROE, Accruals Ratio, Financial Leverage |
| 加权方式 | Quality score × market-cap, optimized constraints |
| 分红频率 | Quarterly |
| 发行商 | Vanguard |
| 跟踪指数 | CRSP US Large Cap Growth Index |
| 费率 | 0.04% |
| 调仓频率 | Quarterly (transitional reconstitution) |
| 投资范围 | U.S. large-cap stocks |
| 持仓数量 | 约 ~154–166 |
| 选股信号 | EPS growth (long/short-term), sales growth, ROA, investment/assets |
| 加权方式 | Float-adjusted market-cap weighted |
| 分红频率 | Quarterly |
| 发行商 | BlackRock / iShares |
| 跟踪指数 | Russell 1000 Growth Index |
| 费率 | 0.18–0.19% |
| 调仓频率 | Annual (June) |
| 投资范围 | Russell 1000 (largest 1,000 U.S. stocks) |
| 持仓数量 | 约 ~385–390 |
| 选股信号 | P/B, 2-year EPS growth forecast, 5-year sales growth |
| 加权方式 | Float-adjusted market-cap weighted |
| 分红频率 | Quarterly |
| 发行商 | BlackRock / iShares |
| 跟踪指数 | Russell Top 200 Growth Index |
| 费率 | 0.20% |
| 调仓频率 | Annual (June) |
| 投资范围 | Russell Top 200 (200 largest U.S. stocks) |
| 持仓数量 | 约 ~110–116 |
| 选股信号 | P/B, 2-year EPS growth forecast, 5-year sales growth |
| 加权方式 | Float-adjusted market-cap weighted |
| 分红频率 | Quarterly |
| 发行商 | BlackRock / iShares |
| 跟踪指数 | MSCI USA Minimum Volatility (USD) Index |
| 费率 | 0.15% |
| 调仓频率 | Quarterly (Feb/May/Aug/Nov) since Aug 2025; prior semi-annual |
| 投资范围 | MSCI USA (large/mid-cap) |
| 持仓数量 | 约 ~170 |
| 选股信号 | Minimum variance optimization using Barra risk model |
| 加权方式 | Optimization-based with sector/factor constraints |
| 分红频率 | Quarterly |
| 发行商 | Invesco |
| 跟踪指数 | S&P 500 Low Volatility Index |
| 费率 | 0.25% |
| 调仓频率 | Quarterly (effective 3rd Fri of Feb/May/Aug/Nov) |
| 投资范围 | S&P 500 constituents |
| 持仓数量 | 约 ~100 |
| 选股信号 | 252-day realized volatility |
| 加权方式 | Inverse volatility weighted |
| 分红频率 | Monthly |
| 发行商 | Charles Schwab |
| 跟踪指数 | Dow Jones U.S. Dividend 100 Index |
| 费率 | 0.06% |
| 调仓频率 | Annual reconstitution (March) + quarterly rebalancing |
| 投资范围 | U.S. dividend-paying stocks ex-REITs/MLPs |
| 持仓数量 | 约 100 |
| 选股信号 | 10-year dividend history; combined score: FCF/debt, ROE, yield, 5-yr div growth |
| 加权方式 | Modified market-cap weighted, 4% stock cap / 25% sector cap |
| 分红频率 | Quarterly |
| 发行商 | Vanguard |
| 跟踪指数 | FTSE High Dividend Yield Index |
| 费率 | 0.06% |
| 调仓频率 | Semi-annually (March & September) |
| 投资范围 | FTSE USA large/mid-cap, ex-REITs |
| 持仓数量 | 约 ~400–550 |
| 选股信号 | Forward 12-month dividend yield |
| 加权方式 | Float-adjusted market-cap weighted |
| 分红频率 | Quarterly |
| 发行商 | BlackRock / iShares |
| 跟踪指数 | Morningstar US Dividend Growth Index |
| 费率 | 0.08% |
| 调仓频率 | Annual reconstitution (December) + quarterly rebalancing |
| 投资范围 | U.S. stocks ex-REITs, all caps |
| 持仓数量 | 约 ~395–420 |
| 选股信号 | 5-year dividend growth, payout ratio <=75%, positive earnings forecast; exclude top 10% yielders |
| 加权方式 | Dividend-weighted, 3% stock cap |
| 分红频率 | Quarterly |
| 发行商 | BlackRock / iShares |
| 跟踪指数 | MSCI USA Diversified Multiple-Factor Index |
| 费率 | 0.20% |
| 调仓频率 | Semi-annually (May & November) |
| 投资范围 | U.S. large/mid-cap stocks |
| 持仓数量 | 约 ~120–160 |
| 选股信号 | Value, Quality, Momentum, Low Size |
| 加权方式 | Multi-factor weighted with sector/size constraints |
| 分红频率 | Quarterly |
| 发行商 | Goldman Sachs Asset Management |
| 跟踪指数 | Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta U.S. Large Cap Equity Index |
| 费率 | 0.09% |
| 调仓频率 | Quarterly |
| 投资范围 | U.S. large-cap stocks |
| 持仓数量 | 约 ~400–500 |
| 选股信号 | Value, Momentum, Quality, Low Volatility |
| 加权方式 | Factor tilting on market-cap base |
| 分红频率 | Quarterly |
| 发行商 | Invesco |
| 跟踪指数 | S&P 500 Low Volatility High Dividend Index |
| 费率 | 0.30% |
| 调仓频率 | Quarterly |
| 投资范围 | S&P 500 constituents |
| 持仓数量 | 约 50 |
| 选股信号 | High dividend yield + low 12M realized volatility |
| 加权方式 | Dividend yield weighted, sector caps |
| 分红频率 | Monthly |
| 发行商 | Invesco |
| 跟踪指数 | S&P 500 Equal Weight Index |
| 费率 | 0.20% |
| 调仓频率 | Quarterly (3rd Friday of Mar/Jun/Sep/Dec) |
| 投资范围 | S&P 500 constituents |
| 持仓数量 | 约 ~500 (505–510 lines) |
| 选股信号 | None — equal representation of all S&P 500 stocks |
| 加权方式 | Equal weight (target 0.20% each) |
| 分红频率 | Quarterly |
| 发行商 | VanEck |
| 跟踪指数 | Morningstar Wide Moat Focus Index |
| 费率 | 0.47% |
| 调仓频率 | Semi-annually staggered (sub-portfolios in Mar/Jun/Sep/Dec) |
| 投资范围 | Morningstar US Market Index (top 97% market cap) |
| 持仓数量 | 约 40–80 (two 40-stock sub-portfolios) |
| 选股信号 | Wide moat rating + lowest Price/Fair Value |
| 加权方式 | Equal weight within sub-portfolios (target 2.5% each) |
| 分红频率 | Annual |
| 月份 | MTUM | SPMO | XMMO | VTV | VLUE | QUAL | VUG | USMV | SPLV | SCHD | VYM | LRGF | RSP | MOAT | SPY | QQQ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07 | +0.40% | +2.86% | +1.39% | +0.17% | -0.23% | +0.71% | +3.83% | -1.34% | -0.26% | +0.00% | +0.62% | +2.18% | +1.04% | +3.22% | +2.30% | +2.42% |
| 2025-08 | +1.01% | +0.68% | +0.66% | +3.49% | +5.96% | +2.62% | +0.76% | +1.78% | +1.56% | +5.36% | +3.76% | +1.91% | +2.72% | +1.74% | +2.05% | +0.95% |
| 2025-09 | +5.47% | +4.10% | +3.19% | +2.30% | +5.06% | +3.19% | +4.69% | +1.32% | +0.16% | -1.28% | +1.88% | +3.74% | +1.01% | +0.63% | +3.56% | +5.38% |
| 2025-10 | -0.87% | +0.53% | +0.58% | -0.39% | +4.29% | +0.93% | +4.01% | -2.06% | -3.72% | -2.01% | -0.26% | +1.49% | -0.93% | +2.64% | +2.38% | +4.78% |
| 2025-11 | -1.56% | -1.30% | +2.43% | +2.54% | +2.50% | +0.91% | -1.61% | +2.31% | +3.80% | +3.14% | +3.46% | -0.68% | +1.92% | +1.48% | +0.20% | -1.56% |
| 2025-12 | +0.29% | -0.42% | -0.45% | +0.79% | +2.90% | +0.58% | -0.51% | -0.82% | -2.21% | +0.44% | -0.67% | +0.08% | +0.41% | +1.67% | +0.08% | -0.67% |
| 2026-01 | +2.23% | +0.46% | +1.31% | +4.59% | +7.64% | +1.91% | -1.29% | +0.88% | +3.31% | +8.71% | +4.49% | +0.30% | +3.40% | +1.15% | +1.47% | +1.23% |
| 2026-02 | -1.15% | -0.33% | +6.96% | +3.76% | +2.45% | +1.21% | -4.29% | +2.97% | +5.28% | +6.54% | +3.39% | -0.78% | +3.48% | +2.08% | -0.86% | -2.34% |
| 2026-03 | -5.04% | -5.90% | -3.18% | -4.81% | -5.29% | -6.17% | -5.12% | -4.79% | -5.33% | -2.61% | -3.92% | -4.24% | -5.97% | -9.57% | -4.94% | -4.84% |
| 2026-04 | +18.33% | +19.34% | +10.21% | +5.39% | +17.50% | +8.05% | +14.25% | +2.05% | +2.03% | +4.53% | +6.14% | +9.03% | +6.00% | +3.80% | +10.51% | +15.69% |
| 2026-05 | +11.21% | +12.56% | +5.64% | +2.45% | +18.59% | +3.98% | +7.73% | +2.07% | -2.88% | +1.34% | +1.27% | +6.27% | +2.65% | +3.34% | +5.26% | +10.57% |
| 2026-06 (partial) | +7.31% | +6.18% | +1.77% | +2.19% | +1.26% | +0.36% | -2.92% | -2.14% | +1.22% | -1.97% | +0.00% | -0.86% | +0.54% | -1.54% | -1.03% | +0.31% |
| 季度 | MTUM | SPMO | XMMO | VTV | VLUE | QUAL | VUG | USMV | SPLV | SCHD | VYM | LRGF | RSP | MOAT | SPY | QQQ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 Q3 | +6.97% | +7.81% | +5.31% | +6.05% | +11.06% | +6.65% | +9.52% | +1.75% | +1.45% | +4.01% | +6.36% | +8.03% | +4.83% | +5.67% | +8.12% | +8.96% |
| 2025 Q4 | -2.13% | -1.20% | +2.56% | +2.94% | +9.99% | +2.43% | +1.82% | -0.62% | -2.26% | +1.50% | +2.50% | +0.88% | +1.38% | +5.91% | +2.67% | +2.45% |
| 2026 Q1 | -4.04% | -5.78% | +4.92% | +3.30% | +4.44% | -3.22% | -10.37% | -1.10% | +2.97% | +12.79% | +3.80% | -4.69% | +0.62% | -6.62% | -4.37% | -5.93% |
| 2026 Q2 (partial) | +41.21% | +42.63% | +18.49% | +10.35% | +41.10% | +12.75% | +19.48% | +1.94% | +0.30% | +3.85% | +7.49% | +14.87% | +9.40% | +5.60% | +15.12% | +28.32% |
以每个月末为终点,往前滚动 3 个月计算的总收益。
| 截止月份 | MTUM | SPMO | XMMO | VTV | VLUE | QUAL | VUG | USMV | SPLV | SCHD | VYM | LRGF | RSP | MOAT | SPY | QQQ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | -4.04% | -5.78% | +4.92% | +3.30% | +4.44% | -3.22% | -10.37% | -1.10% | +2.97% | +12.79% | +3.80% | -4.69% | +0.62% | -6.62% | -4.37% | -5.93% |
| 2026-04 | +11.08% | +11.93% | +14.14% | +4.09% | +14.01% | +2.60% | +3.74% | +0.04% | +1.70% | +8.45% | +5.44% | +3.60% | +3.15% | -4.18% | +4.14% | +7.51% |
| 2026-05 | +24.96% | +26.40% | +12.72% | +2.78% | +31.96% | +5.41% | +16.78% | -0.83% | -6.18% | +3.16% | +3.27% | +10.95% | +2.32% | -3.00% | +10.58% | +21.73% |
| 2026-06 (partial) | +41.21% | +42.63% | +18.49% | +10.35% | +41.10% | +12.75% | +19.48% | +1.94% | +0.30% | +3.85% | +7.49% | +14.87% | +9.40% | +5.60% | +15.12% | +28.32% |
数值越接近 1,表示两只 ETF 走势越同步;越接近 0 或负数,表示分散化效果越好。
| DGRO | GSLC | IVE | IWF | IWY | LRGF | MOAT | MTUM | QQQ | QUAL | RSP | SCHD | SPHD | SPHQ | SPLV | SPMO | SPY | USMV | VLUE | VTV | VUG | VYM | XMMO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DGRO | 1.00 | 0.86 | 0.98 | 0.63 | 0.59 | 0.84 | 0.90 | 0.65 | 0.64 | 0.88 | 0.98 | 0.87 | 0.86 | 0.85 | 0.80 | 0.62 | 0.84 | 0.87 | 0.77 | 0.98 | 0.62 | 0.98 | 0.79 |
| GSLC | 0.86 | 1.00 | 0.87 | 0.93 | 0.91 | 0.99 | 0.85 | 0.87 | 0.92 | 0.97 | 0.87 | 0.59 | 0.54 | 0.88 | 0.51 | 0.87 | 0.99 | 0.72 | 0.78 | 0.81 | 0.93 | 0.82 | 0.82 |
| IVE | 0.98 | 0.87 | 1.00 | 0.64 | 0.60 | 0.85 | 0.91 | 0.64 | 0.65 | 0.87 | 0.97 | 0.85 | 0.84 | 0.81 | 0.77 | 0.61 | 0.85 | 0.86 | 0.78 | 0.96 | 0.64 | 0.96 | 0.79 |
| IWF | 0.63 | 0.93 | 0.64 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.93 | 0.70 | 0.84 | 0.97 | 0.87 | 0.65 | 0.30 | 0.25 | 0.74 | 0.21 | 0.87 | 0.94 | 0.48 | 0.64 | 0.55 | 1.00 | 0.58 | 0.68 |
| IWY | 0.59 | 0.91 | 0.60 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.91 | 0.66 | 0.82 | 0.96 | 0.85 | 0.61 | 0.26 | 0.21 | 0.72 | 0.17 | 0.86 | 0.92 | 0.45 | 0.62 | 0.50 | 0.99 | 0.53 | 0.63 |
| LRGF | 0.84 | 0.99 | 0.85 | 0.93 | 0.91 | 1.00 | 0.84 | 0.87 | 0.92 | 0.96 | 0.86 | 0.57 | 0.52 | 0.87 | 0.46 | 0.88 | 0.99 | 0.70 | 0.79 | 0.79 | 0.93 | 0.80 | 0.83 |
| MOAT | 0.90 | 0.85 | 0.91 | 0.70 | 0.66 | 0.84 | 1.00 | 0.60 | 0.68 | 0.85 | 0.93 | 0.71 | 0.70 | 0.80 | 0.61 | 0.61 | 0.84 | 0.75 | 0.72 | 0.87 | 0.68 | 0.86 | 0.76 |
| MTUM | 0.65 | 0.87 | 0.64 | 0.84 | 0.82 | 0.87 | 0.60 | 1.00 | 0.89 | 0.86 | 0.68 | 0.36 | 0.31 | 0.85 | 0.35 | 0.97 | 0.87 | 0.53 | 0.74 | 0.64 | 0.86 | 0.61 | 0.75 |
| QQQ | 0.64 | 0.92 | 0.65 | 0.97 | 0.96 | 0.92 | 0.68 | 0.89 | 1.00 | 0.87 | 0.67 | 0.34 | 0.25 | 0.79 | 0.20 | 0.91 | 0.94 | 0.45 | 0.76 | 0.58 | 0.97 | 0.60 | 0.67 |
| QUAL | 0.88 | 0.97 | 0.87 | 0.87 | 0.85 | 0.96 | 0.85 | 0.86 | 0.87 | 1.00 | 0.88 | 0.64 | 0.61 | 0.93 | 0.58 | 0.86 | 0.96 | 0.77 | 0.76 | 0.84 | 0.87 | 0.83 | 0.82 |
| RSP | 0.98 | 0.87 | 0.97 | 0.65 | 0.61 | 0.86 | 0.93 | 0.68 | 0.67 | 0.88 | 1.00 | 0.84 | 0.83 | 0.86 | 0.76 | 0.65 | 0.85 | 0.84 | 0.78 | 0.97 | 0.65 | 0.96 | 0.84 |
| SCHD | 0.87 | 0.59 | 0.85 | 0.30 | 0.26 | 0.57 | 0.71 | 0.36 | 0.34 | 0.64 | 0.84 | 1.00 | 0.90 | 0.64 | 0.79 | 0.33 | 0.57 | 0.77 | 0.67 | 0.88 | 0.30 | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| SPHD | 0.86 | 0.54 | 0.84 | 0.25 | 0.21 | 0.52 | 0.70 | 0.31 | 0.25 | 0.61 | 0.83 | 0.90 | 1.00 | 0.62 | 0.92 | 0.26 | 0.52 | 0.83 | 0.52 | 0.86 | 0.24 | 0.86 | 0.52 |
| SPHQ | 0.85 | 0.88 | 0.81 | 0.74 | 0.72 | 0.87 | 0.80 | 0.85 | 0.79 | 0.93 | 0.86 | 0.64 | 0.62 | 1.00 | 0.62 | 0.84 | 0.87 | 0.74 | 0.75 | 0.85 | 0.75 | 0.81 | 0.80 |
| SPLV | 0.80 | 0.51 | 0.77 | 0.21 | 0.17 | 0.46 | 0.61 | 0.35 | 0.20 | 0.58 | 0.76 | 0.79 | 0.92 | 0.62 | 1.00 | 0.28 | 0.46 | 0.87 | 0.41 | 0.81 | 0.21 | 0.79 | 0.52 |
| SPMO | 0.62 | 0.87 | 0.61 | 0.87 | 0.86 | 0.88 | 0.61 | 0.97 | 0.91 | 0.86 | 0.65 | 0.33 | 0.26 | 0.84 | 0.28 | 1.00 | 0.88 | 0.50 | 0.72 | 0.60 | 0.89 | 0.58 | 0.74 |
| SPY | 0.84 | 0.99 | 0.85 | 0.94 | 0.92 | 0.99 | 0.84 | 0.87 | 0.94 | 0.96 | 0.85 | 0.57 | 0.52 | 0.87 | 0.46 | 0.88 | 1.00 | 0.67 | 0.80 | 0.79 | 0.94 | 0.80 | 0.79 |
| USMV | 0.87 | 0.72 | 0.86 | 0.48 | 0.45 | 0.70 | 0.75 | 0.53 | 0.45 | 0.77 | 0.84 | 0.77 | 0.83 | 0.74 | 0.87 | 0.50 | 0.67 | 1.00 | 0.60 | 0.86 | 0.48 | 0.83 | 0.65 |
| VLUE | 0.77 | 0.78 | 0.78 | 0.64 | 0.62 | 0.79 | 0.72 | 0.74 | 0.76 | 0.76 | 0.78 | 0.67 | 0.52 | 0.75 | 0.41 | 0.72 | 0.80 | 0.60 | 1.00 | 0.79 | 0.66 | 0.77 | 0.68 |
| VTV | 0.98 | 0.81 | 0.96 | 0.55 | 0.50 | 0.79 | 0.87 | 0.64 | 0.58 | 0.84 | 0.97 | 0.88 | 0.86 | 0.85 | 0.81 | 0.60 | 0.79 | 0.86 | 0.79 | 1.00 | 0.54 | 0.98 | 0.79 |
| VUG | 0.62 | 0.93 | 0.64 | 1.00 | 0.99 | 0.93 | 0.68 | 0.86 | 0.97 | 0.87 | 0.65 | 0.30 | 0.24 | 0.75 | 0.21 | 0.89 | 0.94 | 0.48 | 0.66 | 0.54 | 1.00 | 0.57 | 0.67 |
| VYM | 0.98 | 0.82 | 0.96 | 0.58 | 0.53 | 0.80 | 0.86 | 0.61 | 0.60 | 0.83 | 0.96 | 0.90 | 0.86 | 0.81 | 0.79 | 0.58 | 0.80 | 0.83 | 0.77 | 0.98 | 0.57 | 1.00 | 0.78 |
| XMMO | 0.79 | 0.82 | 0.79 | 0.68 | 0.63 | 0.83 | 0.76 | 0.75 | 0.67 | 0.82 | 0.84 | 0.60 | 0.52 | 0.80 | 0.52 | 0.74 | 0.79 | 0.65 | 0.68 | 0.79 | 0.67 | 0.78 | 1.00 |
| 仓位角色 | 建议占比 | 可选 ETF | 作用 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 核心仓位 | 50%–70% | SPY / VOO / VTI / QQQ | 获取市场 beta,降低单一因子失效风险 |
| 因子卫星 | 20%–30% | MTUM / SPMO / VUG / QUAL / RSP | 在趋势/成长/质量行情中超额收益 |
| 防御卫星 | 10%–20% | USMV / SPLV / SCHD / VYM | 降低组合波动,提供股息现金流 |
| 策略增强 | 0%–10% | MOAT / LRGF / GSLC | 另类选股逻辑,增加分散化 |
| 市场环境 | 相对占优策略 | 相对劣势策略 |
|---|---|---|
| 科技/成长主导的牛市 | 动量、成长、等权 | 价值、低波动、红利 |
| 经济复苏、价值回归 | 价值、红利、等权 | 质量(若估值过高)、低波动 |
| 高波动、熊市下跌 | 低波动、质量、红利 | 动量、成长、等权 |
| 利率上行周期 | 价值、质量 | 高股息(公用事业/REITs)、成长 |
| 趋势明确、风格延续 | 动量 | 等权、多因子 |